In Brazil, the Amazon rainforest covers approximately 5.5 million square kilometers, occupying 40% of the country's land mass, with Brazil managing 60% of the biome. The rainforest serves as the world's largest carbon sink, absorbing 2 billion tons of carbon dioxide annually. Despite the significance of this rainforest, it's a major victim of deforestation. In the region occupied by Brazil, 10,000 square kilometers of rainforest are cut down every year.

The main economic driver for deforestation is the agricultural sector and the appeal of cattle grazing in the fertile areas of the Amazon. This factor is responsible for around 80% of deforestation in the Amazon. To further this, Brazil is the world's largest exporter of beef, annually producing over 9 million tons. Due to this, soy production for animal feed and biofuels has expanded massively to facilitate the mass exportation of beef.

Another driver of deforestation is logging and timber exports. This industry accounts for 10% to 15% of deforestation, much of which is illegal. Brazil exports tropical hardwoods like ipe and mahogany, which have high demand in construction and furniture. What worsens this issue is the corruption and fraudulent permits that enable illegal logging in protected areas.

Furthermore, mining and infrastructure development significantly contribute to deforestation, enabling the extraction of rich mineral deposits, including iron ore, gold, bauxite and rare earths. Most recently, a proposed railway system and port projects could accelerate deforestation if unchecked, which is further exacerbated by limited environmental regulations.

Federal programs like subsidies and tax incentives provide low-interest loans to agribusiness without substantial environmental safeguards. These tax breaks incentivize agricultural exports while the government lacks mechanisms to reward conservation. Additionally, fiscal policies have historically favored frontier expansion over intensification, worsening deforestation.

The long-term impact of deforestation is both environmentally and economically devastating. Deforestation disrupts rainfall cycles critical for agriculture across South America. As well, the Amazon tipping point could turn vast areas into savannah, reducing biodiversity and productivity. The loss of ecosystem services, most notably water filtration, oxygen production and pollination, will undermine long-term GDP growth.

The EU-Mercosur trade deal is stalled due to deforestation concerns. Companies also risk losing access to ESG-conscious markets if supply chains remain linked to deforestation, potentially leading to divestment of financial institutions.